Monday, February 9, 2015

시켈스 - New York Yankees Top 20 Prospects for 2015

마이너리그 볼의 존 시켈스가 2015년 양키스의 탑 유망주 20명 순위를 발표했습니다. 원문은 이 곳에서 보실 수 있습니다.



A: 엘리트 유망주, 스타나 슈퍼스타가 될 가능성이 있고, 부상이나 다른 외부변수가 없다면 스타선수나 최소 메이저리그 주전으로 발전하곤 한다.
B: 좋은 커리어를 가질 수 있는 유망주. 어떤 선수는 스타가 되기도 하고, 어떤 선수는 그렇지 못하다. 대부분의 선수는 메이저리그 무대를 밟고 몇 년간 팀에 보탬이 된다.
C: 대부분의 유망주. 좋은 점이 분명 있지만, 물음표가 하나 혹은 다수 있거나 메이저리그에 도달하기까지 시간이 너무 멀어 정확한 판단이 어려운 경우. 낮은 레벨의 선수는 C를 받아도 나중에 스타가 되는 경우가 있다. 많은 선수들이 벤치 선수가 되거나, 메이저를 밟지 못한다.


1. 루이스 세베리노, 우완투수, B+/A- 끝자락: 20세, 마이너리그 세 레벨에서 113이닝동안 2.46의 평균자책점과 127삼진/27볼넷을 기록했고 좋은 성적으로 AA에서 시즌을 마무리했다. 97마일에 달하는 속구, 굉장히 좋은 체인지업, 슬라이더는 발전했고, 포텐터진 올시즌은 진퉁이고, 공을 던질 줄 안다. 이대로 계속 발전한다면 2선발급.

2. 애런 저지, 우익수, B+/A- 끝자락: 22세, 프레스노 주립대 출신으로 로우A와 하이A에서 467타수동안 17홈런, 89볼넷, 131 삼진과 함께 .308/.419/.486 타/출/장 기록. 6피트 7인치 (201cm)의 큰 체격에서 나오는 선천적인 파워에다가 맞추는 재능과 출루율도 겸비, 클래식한 파워히팅 우익수가 될 것으로 전망.

3) 그렉 버드, 1루수, B+/B 끝자락: 22세, 하이A와 AA에서 369타수 14홈런, 63볼넷, 97삼진과 함께 .271/.376/.472 타/출/장 기록. 좋은 선구안에 파워 겸비. 엄청난 운동능력을 갖췄다거나 대단한 수비수는 아니지만 닉 스위셔 같은 타입의 타자가 될 것으로 예상.

4) 랍 렙스나이더, 2루수, B: 23세, AA와 AAA에서 515타수 38 2루타, 14홈런, 55볼넷, 105삼진과 함께 .318/.387/.497 타/출/장 기록. 애리조나대학교 외야수였지만 2루수로 전향하고 있는 중인데 공격력은 잃지 않음. 좋은 선구안과 예상외의 장타력을 갖췄고, 갖고 있는 툴 이상의 플레이를 해낸다.

5) 개리 산체스, 포수, B: 22세, AA에서 429타수 13홈런, 43볼넷, 91삼진과 함께 .270/.338/.406 타/출/장을 기록. 주자를 잡아내는데에 좋은 모습을 보이지만 그 외엔 수비가 덜 다듬어졌고, 브레이크아웃하진 못했어도 계속 평균이상의 스탯을 기록해주고 있다. 주가는 좀 내려갔지만 아직 포기하기는 이르고, AAA 안착이 필요하다.

6) Jacob Lindgren, LHP, Grade B: Age 21, second rounder out of Mississippi State in 2014 draft finished his first summer in Double-A, rapid rise on strength of fastball up to 94 and a killer slider. Could see majors in 2015 and not merely a LOOGY, has closer potential.

7) Ian Clarkin, LHP, Grade B/Borderline B-: About to turn 20, posted 3.21 ERA with 71/22 K/BB in 71 innings in Low-A, good control of low-90s fastball, curve, change-up, new cutter. Good pitchability, mid-rotation upside depending on stamina.

8) Luis Torrens, C, Grade B-/Borderline B: Age 18, hit .270/.327/.405, threw out 42% of runners in the New York-Penn League. Outstanding defensive skills are a no-brainer, projects well offensively but could still develop in any number of directions, we’ll have to see how hitting balances out. Could be at the top of this list a year from now if he maximizes offensive output.

9) Miguel Andujar, 3B, Grade B-: Age 19, hit.267/.318/.397 with 10 homers, 35 walks, 83 strikeouts in 484 at-bats in Low-A. Very hot in the second half, projects to hit for both power and average, needs defensive polish but has arm strength and range to manage third base with more experience. Stock on the rise.

10) Jorge Mateo, SS, Grade B-: Age 19, hit .276/.354/.397 with 11 steals in 58 at-bats in rookie ball. Excellent tools but missed most of the season with broken wrist. Would rank higher on pure tools alone but I’d like to see how they translate to higher levels. Power/speed potential and a good chance to remain at shortstop.

11) Tyler Austin, OF, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 23, hit .275/.336/.419 in Double-A but .336/.397/.557 in the last month of the season, as long-standing wrist/hand injury finally receded in the background. Maybe that is just cherry-picking stats but he hit well in Arizona Fall League, too. Still has a shot at being a solid player.

12) Eric Jagielo, 3B, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 22, hit .259/.354/.460 in Florida State League, which is strong production for context (wRC+132). Power is real, but platoon issues and defense could make him more of a role player than long-term regular.

13) Domingo German, RHP, Grade C+/Borderline B-: Age 22, acquired this winter from Marlins, posted 2.48 ERA with 113/25 K/BB in 123 innings in Low-A. Low-90s fastball, good change-up, throws strikes, breaking stuff draws mixed reviews and will be main focus of improvement as he moves up. Mid-rotation upside if that comes together.

14) Jose Ramirez, RHP, Grade C+: Age 25, amazing pure stuff with mid/upper-90s heat but command issues and nagging injuries hold him back, 1.46 ERA with 16/10 K/BB in 12 innings in Triple-A, 5.40 ERA with 10/7 K/BB in 10 big league innings. Middle relief profile with closer possibilities if he can develop more consistency.

15) Bryan Mitchell, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, 4.37 ERA with 94/45 K/BB in 103 innings between Double-A and Triple-A. Another low/mid-90s arm, sometimes higher, curve, change-up, and cutter all have potential but shaky command gives him an erratic track record. Mid-rotation slot possible if command improves, if not he’ll head to the bullpen.

16) Jake Cave, OF, Grade C+: Age 22, hit .294/.351/.414 between High-A and Double-A, something of a tweener perhaps without huge power or speed but featuring decent pure hitting skills, hustle, outfield versatility. Fourth outfielder profile.

17) Angel Aguilar, SS, Grade C+: Age 19, hit .311/.373/.536 with eight steals, 14 walks, 28 strikeouts in 151 at-bats in rookie ball. Small sample but tools are here for Venezuelan with a reasonable chance to stay at shortstop..

18) Alexander Palma, OF, Grade C+: Age 19, hit .305/.318/.451 with four homers, nine steals in 213 at-bats, just 15 strikeouts but only three walks in rookie ball. Observers report impressive bat speed and power potential, good use of speed on the bases, makes contact, unusually low strikeout rate for a guy with power. Very aggressive approach, however, and miniscule walk rate is a caution flag for higher level adjustment. If he transitions well to full-season ball will advance up the list quickly.

19) Ty Hensley, RHP, Grade C+: Age 21, first round pick from 2012 has been slowed by hip labrum injuries but performed well in 31 innings in short-season ball last year, 2.93 ERA with 40/11 K/BB. Can hit mid-90s with strong curveball, needs innings to solidify his change-up and overall sense of command but has one of the highest ceilings in the system. Mid-rotation potential or maybe a bullpen option if durability remains an issue.

20) Austin DeCarr, RHP, Grade C+: Age 19, third round pick in 2014, posted 4.63 ERA with 24/7 K/BB in 23 innings in rookie ball. Sturdy 6-3, 220 build with low/mid-90s fastball, impressive curve. Cold-weather arm understandably needs polish with change-up and command but like Hensley he has mid-rotation possibilities.

다른 C+ 선수: 아비탈 아벨리노, 유격수; 고스케 카토, 2루수; 닉 럼블로우, 우완투수; 체이슨 쉬리브, 좌완투수; 타일러 웨이드, 유격수; 타일러 웹, 좌완주투. 이 선수들이 15등~20등 사이에 들 수도 있었다.

그 외의 선수: 단테 비셰트, 3루수; 대니 브라와, 우완투수; 댄 캐머레나, 좌완투수, 테일러 두가스, 외야수; 라몬 플로레스, 외야수; 마이클 포드, 1루수; 슬레이드 히스캇 (?!), 외야수; 브래디 레일, 좌완투수; 재런 롱, 우완투수; 레오나르도 몰리나, 외야수; 조던 몽고메리, 좌완투수; 마이클 오닐, 외야수; 마크 페이튼, 외야수; 브랜든 핀더, 우완투수; 호세 피렐라, 유틸; 케일럽 스미스, 좌완투수; 미겔 설바란, 좌완투수; 메이슨 윌리엄스, 외야수.


While the Yankees farm system is not at the very top of the organization rankings,it has improved over the last couple of years, should continue to improve, and certainly rates as an upper-tier system. The large amount of Grade C+ talent gives depth and since much of that talent is quite young and projectable with potentially higher grades to come, there is a lot to look forward to.

The big news in 2014 was massive investment in the international market. The Yankees broke through the bonus limits to sign a highly-impressive class including shortstop Wilkerman Garcia, catcher Miguel Flames (great name), shortstops Diego Castillo and Nelson Gomez, and outfielders Juan De Leon, Bryan Emery, Antonio Arias, and Jonathan Amundaray. Those guys haven’t played yet and given the historic volatility of international signees it is best to be cautious at this point.. Many times the big bonus guys bust while lower bonus players develop unexpectedly.

For example, the best prospect in the system is right-hander Luis Severino, who got a $225,000 bonus in 2011. Impressive shortstop prospect Jorge Mateo got the same money, $225,000 in 2010. The Yankees have not eschewed lower bonus players of course and the 2014 signings do show their renewed commitment to farm development.

Among talents who have played, Severino is the best overall pitching prospect though he could be beaten to the majors by 2014 second rounder Jacob Lindgren. Jose Ramirez and Bryan Mitchell bring quality stuff to the cusp of the majors as well as questions about their roles. There are some potential four/five starters and other arms looking for bullpen work. The Yankees always seem to have a group of steady C/C+ type prospects, often from the college ranks, looking to slot in as Shane Greene or David Phelps (both since traded) style useful utility arms. Trade acquisition Domingo German could be a steal.

Offensive depth is provided by Aaron Judge, Greg Bird, and the very intriguing Rob Refsnyder. Gary Sanchez is rather enigmatic but if he can’t break through Luis Torrens is the next big catching prospect and should provide a better balance of offense and defense based on the early returns. There are a large number of potential role players and as mentioned the 2014 international class could provide a lot of firepower if even a third of those guys reach their upside.

Overall, this is an impressive aggregation of talent that should just get better in the coming year.

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