Sunday, November 23, 2014

Alex Rios and his LD%

Someone asked, "Did Rios' BABIP went up 2%p because his LD% went up 2%p?"
I replied, "Possibly." I wasn't sure about the exact number, but I know line drives are the ones with the highest batting average of balls in play.
He replied back, "Would it be possible if he has taken a different approach when swinging knowing that his power numbers aren't there any more?"
I don't know. Maybe. I didn't think 2%p change was that big. So I decided to search for it. Among 94 batters who were qualified for both 2013 and 2014, these are their LD%.


Name14LD%13LD%diff
Daniel Murphy28.221.36.9
Chase Utley24.619.55.1
David Freese25.720.94.8
Chase Headley27.422.64.8
Buster Posey24.319.94.4
Freddie Freeman3126.74.3
Adam Dunn23.419.53.9
Jacoby Ellsbury24.7213.7
Todd Frazier21.718.13.6
Nori Aoki2117.73.3
Brandon Moss2118.12.9
Chris Davis24.621.92.7
J.J. Hardy19.216.62.6
Anthony Rizzo22.119.62.5
Starlin Castro22.319.92.4
Michael Brantley25.723.32.4
Gerardo Parra22.219.92.3
Dustin Pedroia23.921.62.3
Alex Rios23.521.42.1
Justin Morneau23.121.21.9
Alejandro De Aza26.624.71.9
Adeiny Hechavarria22.320.41.9
Starling Marte23.521.61.9
Jose Bautista17.916.11.8
Evan Longoria20.418.61.8
Yoenis Cespedes18.416.71.7
Billy Butler22.120.51.6
Giancarlo Stanton19.718.21.5
Torii Hunter21.319.91.4
Kyle Seager22.220.81.4
Brandon Crawford20.218.91.3
Alcides Escobar24.2231.2
Jed Lowrie24.423.41
Adrian Gonzalez23.722.80.9
Denard Span23.9230.9
Coco Crisp20.519.60.9
Leonys Martin21.9210.9
Salvador Perez21.420.50.9
Miguel Cabrera24.8240.8
Yunel Escobar2019.50.5
Adam LaRoche22.121.70.4
Desmond Jennings17.517.10.4
Adrian Beltre22.121.80.3
Carlos Gomez21.621.30.3
Jean Segura18.3180.3
Jose Altuve22.822.60.2
Martin Prado2221.90.1
Erick Aybar22.722.9-0.2
Chris Johnson26.827-0.2
Zack Cozart17.718-0.3
Neil Walker22.623-0.4
Jonathan Lucroy22.322.8-0.5
Joe Mauer27.227.7-0.5
Pablo Sandoval20.621.3-0.7
Chris Carter21.622.4-0.8
Elvis Andrus20.521.3-0.8
Brian Dozier19.920.8-0.9
Shin-Soo Choo20.221.1-0.9
Victor Martinez21.322.3-1
Alex Gordon19.320.3-1
Matt Dominguez17.718.7-1
Marlon Byrd22.723.8-1.1
Ben Zobrist18.419.7-1.3
Justin Upton20.121.5-1.4
Brett Gardner21.623.3-1.7
Jason Kipnis22.624.7-2.1
Austin Jackson25.527.6-2.1
Andrelton Simmons16.418.5-2.1
Adam Jones17.519.7-2.2
Carlos Santana19.521.8-2.3
Alexei Ramirez19.722.1-2.4
Nick Markakis19.622.6-3
Hunter Pence1417.2-3.2
James Loney26.629.8-3.2
Jay Bruce20.723.9-3.2
Trevor Plouffe21.424.7-3.3
Robinson Cano22.626-3.4
Matt Carpenter23.827.3-3.5
Asdrubal Cabrera19.123-3.9
Ian Kinsler19.623.7-4.1
Mike Trout18.923-4.1
Matt Holliday16.620.8-4.2
Jimmy Rollins19.323.6-4.3
Ian Desmond17.822.5-4.7
David Ortiz17.722.6-4.9
Edwin Encarnacion16.421.6-5.2
Domonic Brown17.422.8-5.4
Eric Hosmer16.922.4-5.5
Allen Craig21.126.9-5.8
Andrew McCutchen18.724.5-5.8
Jayson Werth2026-6
Josh Donaldson13.520.6-7.1
Howie Kendrick18.927.4-8.5

So Alex Rios' spike was not that extraordinary. I did similar search for 2012 and 2013, and got the pretty much the same distribution. As expected, when sorted by the difference, leaders of 2012~2013 and 2013~2014 were totally different. If one player has an unusually high LD%, his LD% would probably go down next year. Duh.

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